About 90% of Kalshi's volume has come from sports contracts in recent months. In late 2024, prediction markets seemed poised to take over the world. Thanks to a big win in a court case against the ...

Latest 2024 National Presidential Election Polls ...

Some analysts think the markets could out-compete polls in newsrooms and more, but the approaches are vastly different.

The Economist’s model of America’s congressional elections estimates both major parties’ chances of winning each House and Senate race, and of controlling each legislative chamber. The forecast ...

SAN FRANCISCO (KRON) — In a race that’s thus far been defined largely by the tumultuous exit of arguably its most high-profile candidate, polling data on the California governor’s race has been hard ...

Before results are declared, markets are already deciding winners, quietly turning politics, sports and uncertainty into ...