The persistent decline in the US Leading Economic Index and Employment Trends Index signals rising recession risk despite the AI-driven capex surge. Employment growth has slowed to recessionary levels ...

A forward-looking gauge of the economy fell by 0.5% in August, with the dual headwinds of a slowing labor market and increased import tariffs dragging down the Conference Board’s leading economic ...

The message from leading indicators is one of a broad-based and strengthening recovery in the global economy at the start of 2026, pointing to at least six months of robust coincident data ahead.